Stabile: Justify Won't Win Triple Crown

Justify is seeking to become the second Triple Crown winner since 1978

Taz and the Moose
June 08, 2018 - 10:04 am

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Justify will go for the Triple Crown at Belmont Stakes on Saturday, and horse racing fans and analysts couldn't be more excited.

“When there’s a Triple Crown on the line, there is no more important day and more exciting day in horse racing than Belmont Stakes day,” horse racing analyst Anthony Stabile said on Taz & The Moose. “I’m a big Belmont Stakes fan, but this year, of course, (is) a little more special with the Triple Crown on the line. I’m just glad the weather looks like it’s going to be fantastic.”

Justify won both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness in impressive fashion. He is seeking to become the first Triple Crown winner since 2015 (American Pharoah) and just the second since 1978 (Affirmed). 

He’s also favored.

“He’s the most talented 3-year-old we’ve seen exhibit his potential so far,” Stabile said. “The biggest challenge is the mile-and-a-half. (Saturday) is 111 days since his career began. No horse has ever been asked to do this. It’s mind-boggling. In a day and age when horses hardly run, he’s going to try to win the Triple Crown having started his career 111 days ago. Quick math is less than 16 weeks. It’s remarkable. How many horses nowadays run six times over 10 months? He’s doing it in 16 weeks. And he’s a 3-year-old. And he had never run before.”

For those reasons, Stabile does not believe Justify will win the Triple Crown.

“I think he's gone backwards in his last two races,” Stabile said. “I was not as impressed with the Preakness as I was in Kentucky. He’s been placed on race tracks that were very conducive to being forwardly placed. I’m not taking away from him. He’s a really good horse. But the beauty of our sport is the best horse usually wins, but he doesn’t always win. He’s the best horse right now, but I don’t think he’s winning the Triple Crown.”